Long Term Trend: Neutral
AI Indicator Strength: 35.0%
StockBPCL
Current Price₹306.60
Short Term Trend
Weak Upward
Trend: Neutral
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price consolidating within ranges
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bearish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 53.99
- Mild negative bias
MACD: Weak Bearish
¼ MACD Observation
- Weak negative MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bearish
- Trend → Neutral
📊 BPCL Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Relative Strength is perfectly balanced at 53.99.
❌ Risk Factors
- Immediate price action favors the sellers.
📌 Market Outlook
Choppy sideways action is expected until a definitive range breakout occurs.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹276.60
₹273.83
₹271.07
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹321.60
₹324.82
₹328.03
BPCL Price Action: Immediate buying interest for BPCL has historically emerged around the ₹276.6 mark. If the stock faces selling pressure, this zone acts as the first line of defense. Conversely, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹321.60. Breaking past this resistance could signal a fresh leg of bullish momentum.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 202.46 |
| 38.2% | 238.62 |
| 50.0% | 267.84 |
| 61.8% | 297.06 |
| 78.6% | 338.66 |
Structural Pullbacks: Looking at the Fibonacci retracement map for BPCL, the 38.2% level at ₹238.62 acts as a critical juncture. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where BPCL might reverse or accelerate.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 309.49 | SMA5 | 312.71 |
| EMA9 | 306.12 | SMA9 | 303.26 |
| EMA20 | 301.91 | SMA20 | 300.60 |
| EMA50 | 304.00 | SMA50 | 301.26 |
| EMA100 | 314.60 | SMA100 | 320.99 |
| EMA200 | 322.65 | SMA200 | 335.67 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Price > EMA20 (Short-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• EMA20 < EMA50 (Medium Downtrend): -1 🔴
🔴
• Price < EMA200 (Long-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• MACD Weak Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Total Score: -3
🔴
• Confidence Score: 35.00%
🔴
Total Score: -3
Technical Indicator Strength: 35.0%
- Neutral alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 35.0%
👉 Market appears neutral
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-06-04 |
Bearish |
293.75 |
295.00 |
295.90 |
291.75 |
1.10% |
0.31 |
295.90 |
280.25% |
4.60 |
0.73 |
6.26 35.52 Success |
| 2026-05-22 |
Bullish |
295.60 |
305.00 |
309.00 |
304.05 |
1.31% |
0.31 |
312.00 |
290.00% |
5.55 |
1.89 |
10.36 46.95 Success |
| 2026-05-11 |
Bearish |
294.45 |
286.00 |
293.70 |
286.00 |
0.00% |
2.69 |
301.10 |
276.60% |
6.06 |
2.26 |
2.03 41.90 No Trade |
| 2026-04-07 |
Bullish |
277.45 |
293.50 |
301.50 |
292.15 |
2.73% |
0.46 |
311.45 |
284.25% |
12.25 |
-2.45 |
21.74 66.62 Success |
| 2026-03-02 |
Bearish |
374.80 |
365.00 |
367.85 |
352.70 |
3.37% |
0.78 |
367.85 |
322.80% |
13.87 |
-1.85 |
7.06 63.30 Success |
| 2026-02-26 |
Bullish |
386.00 |
386.65 |
389.90 |
382.50 |
0.84% |
1.07 |
389.90 |
351.10% |
1.01 |
9.04 |
5.23 38.97 Success |
| 2026-02-17 |
Bearish |
374.95 |
377.00 |
381.40 |
375.75 |
0.33% |
1.17 |
381.40 |
362.30% |
3.37 |
1.72 |
11.27 31.44 Success |
| 2026-01-29 |
Bullish |
366.95 |
366.70 |
368.00 |
359.50 |
0.35% |
1.96 |
391.65 |
351.00% |
6.73 |
4.35 |
40.90 59.86 Success |
| 2026-01-07 |
Bearish |
368.20 |
366.20 |
366.55 |
352.20 |
3.82% |
0.10 |
366.55 |
349.55% |
5.07 |
-0.45 |
12.01 46.69 Success |
| 2025-12-16 |
Bullish |
368.15 |
370.00 |
372.85 |
366.00 |
0.77% |
1.08 |
373.50 |
361.50% |
1.45 |
1.81 |
27.19 29.21 Success |
| 2025-11-19 |
Bearish |
365.65 |
367.00 |
368.80 |
363.30 |
1.01% |
0.49 |
368.80 |
353.70% |
3.27 |
0.86 |
28.54 37.08 Success |
| 2025-10-29 |
Bullish |
348.10 |
350.00 |
359.80 |
345.30 |
2.80% |
1.34 |
380.00 |
345.30% |
9.16 |
0.80 |
11.20 61.42 Success |
| 2025-10-14 |
Bearish |
332.45 |
334.95 |
340.75 |
332.05 |
0.87% |
1.73 |
340.75 |
332.05% |
0.12 |
2.50 |
38.12 29.27 Success |
| 2025-09-03 |
Bullish |
314.85 |
319.85 |
319.85 |
312.50 |
0.00% |
2.30 |
320.15 |
311.50% |
1.68 |
1.06 |
19.34 21.22 No Trade |
| 2025-07-18 |
Bearish |
343.50 |
343.50 |
344.70 |
339.45 |
1.18% |
0.35 |
345.00 |
331.05% |
3.62 |
0.44 |
39.33 42.40 Success |
| 2025-06-26 |
Bullish |
329.75 |
330.00 |
334.20 |
327.40 |
1.27% |
0.79 |
337.70 |
327.40% |
2.41 |
0.71 |
37.30 36.02 Success |
| 2025-06-12 |
Bearish |
318.65 |
305.00 |
314.40 |
299.30 |
1.87% |
3.08 |
320.45 |
299.30% |
6.07 |
0.56 |
3.45 45.28 Success |
| 2025-06-11 |
Bullish |
333.85 |
330.50 |
331.00 |
317.75 |
0.15% |
3.86 |
331.00 |
299.30% |
-0.85 |
10.35 |
31.01 43.73 Success |
| 2025-05-08 |
Bearish |
307.95 |
302.55 |
307.35 |
301.35 |
0.40% |
1.59 |
320.20 |
301.35% |
2.14 |
3.98 |
18.23 36.38 Success |
| 2025-03-05 |
Bullish |
255.84 |
260.00 |
265.95 |
259.00 |
2.29% |
0.38 |
272.00 |
254.35% |
6.32 |
0.58 |
74.61 75.32 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for BPCL. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.