Long Term Trend: Weak
AI Indicator Strength: 55.0%
StockLUPIN
Current Price₹1953.60
Short Term Trend
Strong Downward
Trend: Weak
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price below EMA20, EMA50, EMA200
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Oversold
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 28.55
- Extreme exhaustion (Bullish bias)
MACD: Strong Bullish
¼ MACD Observation
- Strong positive MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Oversold
- Trend → Weak
📊 LUPIN Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Technical structure remains largely defensive with limited active catalysts.
❌ Risk Factors
- Price trading below major moving averages reflects weak structure.
- Short term momentum remains bearish.
📌 Market Outlook
Weak momentum may continue unless price reclaims resistance zones.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹1926.50
₹1907.24
₹1887.97
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹2192.00
₹2213.92
₹2235.84
LUPIN Price Action: Immediate buying interest for LUPIN has historically emerged around the ₹1926.5 mark. If the stock faces selling pressure, this zone acts as the first line of defense. Conversely, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹2192.00. Breaking past this resistance could signal a fresh leg of bullish momentum.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 1042.37 |
| 38.2% | 1326.56 |
| 50.0% | 1556.25 |
| 61.8% | 1785.94 |
| 78.6% | 2112.95 |
Structural Pullbacks: Looking at the Fibonacci retracement map for LUPIN, the 38.2% level at ₹1326.56 acts as a critical juncture. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where LUPIN might reverse or accelerate.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 1973.67 | SMA5 | 1977.84 |
| EMA9 | 1997.39 | SMA9 | 2001.52 |
| EMA20 | 2044.61 | SMA20 | 2050.75 |
| EMA50 | 2139.34 | SMA50 | 2166.59 |
| EMA100 | 2204.47 | SMA100 | 2262.58 |
| EMA200 | 2207.00 | SMA200 | 2253.93 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Oversold: +2 🔴
🟢
• Price < EMA20 (Short-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• EMA20 < EMA50 (Medium Downtrend): -1 🔴
🔴
• Price < EMA200 (Long-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• MACD Strong Bullish: +2 🟢
🟢
• Total Score: 1
🔴
• Confidence Score: 55.00%
🔴
Total Score: 1
Technical Indicator Strength: 55.0%
- Weak alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 55.0%
👉 Market appears weak-to-sideways with mild downside pressure
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-09-17 |
Bullish |
2098.1 |
2088.1 |
2114.7 |
2075.0 |
1.27% |
0.63 |
2135.0 |
2075.0% |
1.76 |
1.10 |
100.00 59.12 Success |
| 2026-07-17 |
Bearish |
2443.2 |
2431.2 |
2494.8 |
2424.0 |
0.30% |
2.62 |
2523.7 |
2340.0% |
4.22 |
3.29 |
100.00 77.73 Success |
| 2026-06-11 |
Bullish |
2273.3 |
2282.0 |
2297.1 |
2269.5 |
0.66% |
0.55 |
2337.9 |
2253.6% |
2.84 |
0.87 |
100.00 61.58 Success |
| 2026-05-12 |
Bearish |
2245.4 |
2245.8 |
2267.2 |
2210.6 |
1.57% |
0.95 |
2299.0 |
2210.6% |
1.55 |
2.39 |
100.00 64.28 Success |
| 2026-05-05 |
Bullish |
2343.3 |
2362.3 |
2459.0 |
2350.4 |
4.09% |
0.50 |
2494.0 |
2233.0% |
6.43 |
4.71 |
91.47 94.59 Success |
| 2026-04-21 |
Bearish |
2311.5 |
2304.7 |
2318.6 |
2285.1 |
0.85% |
0.60 |
2381.0 |
2260.3% |
2.22 |
3.01 |
80.30 59.65 Success |
| 2026-04-16 |
Bullish |
2327.0 |
2316.0 |
2335.0 |
2300.0 |
0.82% |
0.69 |
2381.0 |
2285.1% |
2.32 |
1.80 |
9.34 26.94 Success |
| 2026-03-16 |
Bearish |
2290.4 |
2306.0 |
2312.2 |
2285.4 |
0.89% |
0.27 |
2337.8 |
2241.6% |
2.13 |
2.07 |
100.00 63.56 Success |
| 2026-02-05 |
Bullish |
2218.5 |
2214.0 |
2214.0 |
2162.1 |
0.00% |
2.34 |
2233.8 |
2162.1% |
0.69 |
2.54 |
100.00 54.08 No Trade |
| 2026-01-20 |
Bearish |
2168.3 |
2168.3 |
2210.0 |
2132.0 |
1.67% |
1.92 |
2210.0 |
2116.6% |
2.38 |
1.92 |
89.30 63.25 Success |
| 2026-01-07 |
Bullish |
2214.3 |
2220.9 |
2221.0 |
2185.7 |
0.00% |
1.58 |
2221.0 |
2139.7% |
0.30 |
3.37 |
100.00 55.37 Success |
| 2025-12-24 |
Bearish |
2107.0 |
2107.2 |
2117.0 |
2095.7 |
0.55% |
0.47 |
2117.0 |
2065.1% |
1.99 |
0.47 |
74.61 44.95 Success |
| 2025-12-18 |
Bullish |
2119.1 |
2127.0 |
2146.9 |
2111.1 |
0.94% |
0.75 |
2146.9 |
2095.7% |
1.31 |
1.10 |
69.72 43.25 Success |
| 2025-12-09 |
Bearish |
2051.8 |
2064.9 |
2075.0 |
2050.8 |
0.68% |
0.49 |
2121.9 |
2046.6% |
0.25 |
3.42 |
100.00 57.54 Success |
| 2025-10-30 |
Bullish |
1945.8 |
1945.9 |
1976.0 |
1936.1 |
1.55% |
0.50 |
2016.5 |
1936.1% |
3.63 |
0.50 |
68.46 55.31 Success |
| 2025-09-25 |
Bearish |
1963.5 |
1930.5 |
1952.8 |
1913.3 |
0.89% |
1.16 |
2006.1 |
1901.8% |
3.14 |
2.17 |
100.00 69.63 Success |
| 2025-09-08 |
Bullish |
1947.2 |
1937.1 |
1964.5 |
1934.7 |
1.41% |
0.12 |
2055.0 |
1934.7% |
5.54 |
0.64 |
100.00 78.07 Success |
| 2025-08-28 |
Bearish |
1902.4 |
1902.4 |
1917.7 |
1890.0 |
0.65% |
0.80 |
1964.4 |
1875.0% |
1.44 |
3.26 |
100.00 63.40 Success |
| 2025-08-11 |
Bullish |
1944.8 |
1937.6 |
1960.7 |
1932.0 |
1.19% |
0.29 |
2009.8 |
1932.0% |
3.34 |
0.66 |
100.00 65.57 Success |
| 2025-08-01 |
Bearish |
1867.3 |
1883.9 |
1899.0 |
1857.1 |
1.42% |
0.80 |
1952.7 |
1836.8% |
1.63 |
4.57 |
99.56 72.43 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for LUPIN. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.