Long Term Trend: Weak
AI Indicator Strength: 30.0%
StockNATIONALUM
Current Price₹321.00
Short Term Trend
Strong Downward
Trend: Weak
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price below EMA20, EMA50, EMA200
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bullish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 33.58
- Mild positive bias
MACD: Strong Bearish
¼ MACD Observation
- Strong negative MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bullish
- Trend → Weak
📊 NATIONALUM Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Technical structure remains largely defensive with limited active catalysts.
❌ Risk Factors
- Failure to reclaim the 200-day EMA acts as heavy resistance.
- Immediate price action favors the sellers.
📌 Market Outlook
Sellers remain in control; wait for a confirmed structural shift before engaging.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹309.90
₹306.80
₹303.70
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹394.95
₹398.90
₹402.85
NATIONALUM Price Action: Immediate buying interest for NATIONALUM has historically emerged around the ₹309.9 mark. If the stock faces selling pressure, this zone acts as the first line of defense. Conversely, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹394.95. Breaking past this resistance could signal a fresh leg of bullish momentum.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 154.75 |
| 38.2% | 210.25 |
| 50.0% | 255.10 |
| 61.8% | 299.95 |
| 78.6% | 363.81 |
Structural Pullbacks: Looking at the Fibonacci retracement map for NATIONALUM, the 38.2% level at ₹210.25 acts as a critical juncture. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where NATIONALUM might reverse or accelerate.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 322.64 | SMA5 | 321.71 |
| EMA9 | 329.03 | SMA9 | 330.12 |
| EMA20 | 341.81 | SMA20 | 343.95 |
| EMA50 | 356.46 | SMA50 | 365.61 |
| EMA100 | 362.97 | SMA100 | 369.07 |
| EMA200 | 349.58 | SMA200 | 372.74 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bullish: +1 🟢
🟢
• Price < EMA20 (Short-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• EMA20 < EMA50 (Medium Downtrend): -1 🔴
🔴
• Price < EMA200 (Long-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• MACD Strong Bearish: -2 🔴
🔴
• Total Score: -4
🔴
• Confidence Score: 30.00%
🔴
Total Score: -4
Technical Indicator Strength: 30.0%
- Weak alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 30.0%
👉 Market appears weak-to-sideways with mild downside pressure
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-08-31 |
Bearish |
381.50 |
383.00 |
383.75 |
368.60 |
3.76% |
0.20 |
383.75 |
365.90% |
4.09 |
0.59 |
91.97 77.00 Success |
| 2026-07-08 |
Bullish |
349.75 |
350.10 |
351.80 |
341.90 |
0.49% |
2.34 |
368.50 |
341.90% |
5.36 |
2.24 |
83.61 73.40 Success |
| 2026-06-05 |
Bearish |
395.60 |
385.50 |
389.80 |
375.15 |
2.68% |
1.12 |
389.80 |
368.10% |
6.95 |
-1.47 |
64.06 69.69 Success |
| 2026-05-26 |
Bullish |
416.20 |
421.20 |
437.75 |
420.25 |
3.93% |
0.23 |
444.50 |
416.80% |
6.80 |
-0.14 |
18.14 58.90 Success |
| 2026-04-30 |
Bearish |
399.30 |
399.30 |
399.30 |
399.30 |
0.00% |
0.00 |
420.95 |
388.60% |
2.68 |
5.42 |
100.00 75.98 No Trade |
| 2026-04-01 |
Bullish |
399.45 |
395.95 |
403.40 |
385.20 |
1.88% |
2.71 |
417.35 |
385.20% |
4.48 |
3.57 |
2.14 47.10 Success |
| 2026-03-19 |
Bearish |
377.00 |
369.05 |
382.65 |
360.55 |
2.30% |
3.69 |
382.65 |
347.00% |
7.96 |
1.50 |
39.28 68.85 Success |
| 2026-03-04 |
Bullish |
373.50 |
377.00 |
404.30 |
376.50 |
7.24% |
0.13 |
404.30 |
376.50% |
8.25 |
-0.80 |
98.10 95.00 Success |
| 2026-02-02 |
Bearish |
369.70 |
389.90 |
391.95 |
361.05 |
7.40% |
0.53 |
391.95 |
349.55% |
5.45 |
6.02 |
63.85 85.72 Success |
| 2026-01-28 |
Bullish |
406.15 |
411.90 |
431.50 |
411.55 |
4.76% |
0.08 |
431.50 |
342.00% |
6.24 |
15.79 |
100.00 95.00 Success |
| 2026-01-21 |
Bearish |
361.50 |
363.00 |
368.00 |
356.80 |
1.71% |
1.38 |
431.50 |
356.80% |
1.30 |
19.36 |
21.48 49.38 Success |
| 2025-12-15 |
Bullish |
278.70 |
277.30 |
277.95 |
273.70 |
0.23% |
1.30 |
292.75 |
273.70% |
5.04 |
1.79 |
17.84 42.54 Success |
| 2025-12-09 |
Bearish |
265.65 |
265.00 |
268.10 |
261.40 |
1.36% |
1.17 |
280.00 |
261.40% |
1.60 |
5.40 |
29.98 47.31 Success |
| 2025-12-05 |
Bullish |
273.15 |
273.90 |
276.20 |
266.60 |
0.84% |
2.67 |
279.75 |
259.30% |
2.42 |
5.07 |
25.02 47.36 Success |
| 2025-11-21 |
Bearish |
250.68 |
250.66 |
254.15 |
249.40 |
0.50% |
1.39 |
265.51 |
249.40% |
0.51 |
5.92 |
73.80 57.32 Success |
| 2025-11-10 |
Bullish |
257.36 |
258.00 |
266.40 |
256.26 |
3.26% |
0.67 |
271.89 |
256.26% |
5.65 |
0.43 |
61.56 69.82 Success |
| 2025-11-04 |
Bearish |
233.27 |
233.27 |
233.30 |
228.03 |
2.25% |
0.01 |
269.25 |
228.00% |
2.26 |
15.42 |
20.93 52.76 Success |
| 2025-10-06 |
Bullish |
217.15 |
217.90 |
220.00 |
216.00 |
0.96% |
0.87 |
232.20 |
216.00% |
6.93 |
0.53 |
14.78 49.07 Success |
| 2025-09-22 |
Bearish |
210.94 |
210.90 |
211.88 |
207.30 |
1.71% |
0.46 |
211.88 |
198.68% |
5.81 |
0.45 |
6.44 43.85 Success |
| 2025-09-02 |
Bullish |
200.53 |
201.51 |
208.30 |
201.51 |
3.37% |
0.00 |
216.95 |
201.51% |
8.19 |
-0.49 |
73.71 84.77 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for NATIONALUM. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.