Long Term Trend: Strong
AI Indicator Strength: 70.0%
StockNATIONALUM
Current Price₹394.45
Short Term Trend
Strong Upward
Trend: Strong
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price above EMA20, EMA50, EMA200
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bearish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 59.01
- Mild negative bias
MACD: Strong Bullish
¼ MACD Observation
- Strong positive MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bearish
- Trend → Strong
📊 NATIONALUM Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Consistent higher highs affirm structural bull dominance.
- Relative Strength is perfectly balanced at 59.01.
❌ Risk Factors
- Short-term momentum shows mild cooling, but the primary trend remains strictly bullish.
📌 Market Outlook
Choppy sideways action is expected until a definitive range breakout occurs.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹332.00
₹328.68
₹325.36
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹422.20
₹426.42
₹430.64
NATIONALUM Price Action: The nearest structural support is quite distant at ₹332.0 (over 10% away). In the short term, traders should watch the EMA20 at ₹378.57 as a dynamic support level. On the upside, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹422.20.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 154.75 |
| 38.2% | 210.25 |
| 50.0% | 255.10 |
| 61.8% | 299.95 |
| 78.6% | 363.81 |
Structural Pullbacks: With NATIONALUM trading in the upper half of its 52-week range, upper support floors like the 23.6% level at ₹154.75 act as immediate breakout retest zones. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where NATIONALUM might find fresh buying interest.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 390.08 | SMA5 | 386.51 |
| EMA9 | 387.65 | SMA9 | 391.53 |
| EMA20 | 378.57 | SMA20 | 373.65 |
| EMA50 | 373.13 | SMA50 | 361.93 |
| EMA100 | 371.08 | SMA100 | 387.57 |
| EMA200 | 346.95 | SMA200 | 356.70 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Price > EMA20 (Short-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• EMA20 > EMA50 (Medium Uptrend): +1 🟢
🟢
• Price > EMA200 (Long-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• MACD Strong Bullish: +2 🟢
🟢
• Total Score: 4
🔴
• Confidence Score: 70.00%
🔴
Total Score: 4
Technical Indicator Strength: 70.0%
- Strong alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 70.0%
👉 Market appears neutral
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-07-08 |
Bullish |
349.75 |
350.10 |
351.80 |
341.90 |
0.49% |
2.34 |
368.50 |
341.90% |
5.36 |
2.24 |
83.61 73.40 Success |
| 2026-06-05 |
Bearish |
395.60 |
385.50 |
389.80 |
375.15 |
2.68% |
1.12 |
389.80 |
368.10% |
6.95 |
-1.47 |
64.06 69.69 Success |
| 2026-05-26 |
Bullish |
416.20 |
421.20 |
437.75 |
420.25 |
3.93% |
0.23 |
444.50 |
416.80% |
6.80 |
-0.14 |
18.14 58.90 Success |
| 2026-04-30 |
Bearish |
399.30 |
399.30 |
399.30 |
399.30 |
0.00% |
0.00 |
420.95 |
388.60% |
2.68 |
5.42 |
100.00 75.98 No Trade |
| 2026-04-01 |
Bullish |
399.45 |
395.95 |
403.40 |
385.20 |
1.88% |
2.71 |
417.35 |
385.20% |
4.48 |
3.57 |
2.14 47.10 Success |
| 2026-03-19 |
Bearish |
377.00 |
369.05 |
382.65 |
360.55 |
2.30% |
3.69 |
382.65 |
347.00% |
7.96 |
1.50 |
39.28 68.85 Success |
| 2026-03-04 |
Bullish |
373.50 |
377.00 |
404.30 |
376.50 |
7.24% |
0.13 |
404.30 |
376.50% |
8.25 |
-0.80 |
98.10 95.00 Success |
| 2026-02-02 |
Bearish |
369.70 |
389.90 |
391.95 |
361.05 |
7.40% |
0.53 |
391.95 |
349.55% |
5.45 |
6.02 |
63.85 85.72 Success |
| 2026-01-28 |
Bullish |
406.15 |
411.90 |
431.50 |
411.55 |
4.76% |
0.08 |
431.50 |
342.00% |
6.24 |
15.79 |
100.00 95.00 Success |
| 2026-01-21 |
Bearish |
361.50 |
363.00 |
368.00 |
356.80 |
1.71% |
1.38 |
431.50 |
356.80% |
1.30 |
19.36 |
21.48 49.38 Success |
| 2025-12-15 |
Bullish |
278.70 |
277.30 |
277.95 |
273.70 |
0.23% |
1.30 |
292.75 |
273.70% |
5.04 |
1.79 |
17.84 42.54 Success |
| 2025-12-09 |
Bearish |
265.65 |
265.00 |
268.10 |
261.40 |
1.36% |
1.17 |
280.00 |
261.40% |
1.60 |
5.40 |
29.98 47.31 Success |
| 2025-12-05 |
Bullish |
273.15 |
273.90 |
276.20 |
266.60 |
0.84% |
2.67 |
279.75 |
259.30% |
2.42 |
5.07 |
25.02 47.36 Success |
| 2025-11-21 |
Bearish |
250.68 |
250.66 |
254.15 |
249.40 |
0.50% |
1.39 |
265.51 |
249.40% |
0.51 |
5.92 |
73.80 57.32 Success |
| 2025-11-10 |
Bullish |
257.36 |
258.00 |
266.40 |
256.26 |
3.26% |
0.67 |
271.89 |
256.26% |
5.65 |
0.43 |
61.56 69.82 Success |
| 2025-11-04 |
Bearish |
233.27 |
233.27 |
233.30 |
228.03 |
2.25% |
0.01 |
269.25 |
228.00% |
2.26 |
15.42 |
20.93 52.76 Success |
| 2025-10-06 |
Bullish |
217.15 |
217.90 |
220.00 |
216.00 |
0.96% |
0.87 |
232.20 |
216.00% |
6.93 |
0.53 |
14.78 49.07 Success |
| 2025-09-22 |
Bearish |
210.94 |
210.90 |
211.88 |
207.30 |
1.71% |
0.46 |
211.88 |
198.68% |
5.81 |
0.45 |
6.44 43.85 Success |
| 2025-09-02 |
Bullish |
200.53 |
201.51 |
208.30 |
201.51 |
3.37% |
0.00 |
216.95 |
201.51% |
8.19 |
-0.49 |
73.71 84.77 Success |
| 2025-08-26 |
Bearish |
186.02 |
185.80 |
187.84 |
184.10 |
0.91% |
1.10 |
208.30 |
183.86% |
1.16 |
11.98 |
5.35 39.52 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for NATIONALUM. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.