Long Term Trend: Neutral
AI Indicator Strength: 45.0%
StockNTPC
Current Price₹365.80
Short Term Trend
Consolidating Sideways
Trend: Neutral
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price consolidating within ranges
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bullish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 46.00
- Mild positive bias
MACD: Weak Bearish
¼ MACD Observation
- Weak negative MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bullish
- Trend → Neutral
📊 NTPC Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Relative Strength is perfectly balanced at 46.00.
❌ Risk Factors
- Immediate price action favors the sellers.
📌 Market Outlook
Choppy sideways action is expected until a definitive range breakout occurs.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹346.95
₹343.48
₹340.01
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹405.00
₹409.05
₹413.10
NTPC Price Action: Immediate buying interest for NTPC has historically emerged around the ₹346.95 mark. If the stock faces selling pressure, this zone acts as the first line of defense. Conversely, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹405.00. Breaking past this resistance could signal a fresh leg of bullish momentum.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 186.51 |
| 38.2% | 236.57 |
| 50.0% | 277.03 |
| 61.8% | 317.48 |
| 78.6% | 375.08 |
Structural Pullbacks: With NTPC trading in the upper half of its 52-week range, upper support floors like the 23.6% level at ₹186.51 act as immediate breakout retest zones. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where NTPC might find fresh buying interest.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 359.94 | SMA5 | 357.39 |
| EMA9 | 359.83 | SMA9 | 355.56 |
| EMA20 | 366.43 | SMA20 | 368.32 |
| EMA50 | 375.19 | SMA50 | 384.83 |
| EMA100 | 372.37 | SMA100 | 377.65 |
| EMA200 | 363.10 | SMA200 | 355.54 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bullish: +1 🟢
🟢
• Price < EMA20 (Short-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• EMA20 < EMA50 (Medium Downtrend): -1 🔴
🔴
• Price > EMA200 (Long-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• MACD Weak Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Total Score: -1
🔴
• Confidence Score: 45.00%
🔴
Total Score: -1
Technical Indicator Strength: 45.0%
- Neutral alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 45.0%
👉 Market appears neutral
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-05-04 |
Bearish |
400.05 |
398.30 |
400.50 |
394.55 |
0.94% |
0.55 |
405.10 |
391.00% |
2.26 |
1.26 |
12.51 26.31 Success |
| 2026-04-13 |
Bullish |
386.25 |
390.25 |
393.95 |
387.10 |
0.95% |
0.81 |
402.70 |
387.10% |
4.26 |
-0.22 |
70.84 54.33 Success |
| 2026-03-04 |
Bearish |
365.80 |
366.95 |
379.90 |
366.60 |
0.10% |
3.53 |
385.55 |
366.60% |
-0.22 |
5.40 |
86.08 54.66 Success |
| 2026-02-23 |
Bullish |
375.45 |
374.95 |
385.00 |
373.55 |
2.68% |
0.37 |
388.55 |
365.00% |
3.49 |
2.78 |
6.73 43.65 Success |
| 2026-02-19 |
Bearish |
363.20 |
362.80 |
373.65 |
362.70 |
0.03% |
2.99 |
388.55 |
362.70% |
0.14 |
6.98 |
45.15 45.91 Success |
| 2026-01-29 |
Bullish |
358.15 |
359.00 |
359.35 |
351.10 |
0.10% |
2.20 |
370.70 |
337.75% |
3.50 |
5.70 |
52.84 58.79 Success |
| 2026-01-20 |
Bearish |
338.75 |
338.80 |
341.60 |
336.80 |
0.59% |
0.83 |
353.25 |
336.10% |
0.78 |
4.28 |
20.53 31.66 Success |
| 2025-12-12 |
Bullish |
325.05 |
323.05 |
325.30 |
321.55 |
0.70% |
0.46 |
325.30 |
317.00% |
0.08 |
2.48 |
24.10 22.88 Success |
| 2025-12-08 |
Bearish |
319.50 |
317.45 |
321.40 |
315.55 |
0.60% |
1.24 |
325.95 |
315.55% |
1.24 |
2.02 |
18.71 24.70 Success |
| 2025-11-27 |
Bullish |
327.35 |
328.00 |
328.15 |
324.25 |
0.05% |
1.14 |
329.95 |
321.10% |
0.79 |
1.91 |
3.50 13.66 Success |
| 2025-10-31 |
Bearish |
336.95 |
336.85 |
337.50 |
333.40 |
1.02% |
0.19 |
337.50 |
320.85% |
4.78 |
0.16 |
12.62 36.54 Success |
| 2025-10-29 |
Bullish |
347.50 |
349.00 |
349.00 |
343.45 |
0.00% |
1.59 |
349.00 |
324.60% |
0.43 |
6.59 |
28.82 41.13 No Trade |
| 2025-10-28 |
Bearish |
339.15 |
339.25 |
350.00 |
339.15 |
0.03% |
3.17 |
350.00 |
329.70% |
2.79 |
3.20 |
13.19 33.46 Success |
| 2025-10-17 |
Bullish |
341.00 |
341.40 |
344.45 |
340.30 |
0.89% |
0.32 |
345.20 |
338.15% |
1.23 |
0.84 |
1.46 14.23 Success |
| 2025-10-08 |
Bearish |
333.80 |
333.80 |
336.40 |
331.20 |
0.78% |
0.78 |
343.00 |
331.20% |
0.78 |
2.76 |
41.57 34.92 Success |
| 2025-09-15 |
Bullish |
331.10 |
331.20 |
335.80 |
331.20 |
1.39% |
0.00 |
340.35 |
331.20% |
2.79 |
-0.03 |
0.67 20.93 Success |
| 2025-08-26 |
Bearish |
333.20 |
331.25 |
332.90 |
328.70 |
0.77% |
0.50 |
338.25 |
327.00% |
1.86 |
1.52 |
0.05 19.41 Success |
| 2025-08-12 |
Bullish |
340.10 |
340.30 |
343.00 |
339.15 |
0.79% |
0.34 |
343.40 |
334.15% |
0.97 |
1.75 |
22.64 24.59 Success |
| 2025-07-24 |
Bearish |
338.90 |
338.90 |
339.90 |
332.55 |
1.87% |
0.30 |
342.30 |
328.50% |
3.07 |
1.00 |
1.99 29.32 Success |
| 2025-06-10 |
Bullish |
339.20 |
341.00 |
342.60 |
337.45 |
0.47% |
1.04 |
342.60 |
326.60% |
1.00 |
3.71 |
22.32 31.43 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for NTPC. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.