Long Term Trend: Weak
AI Indicator Strength: 45.0%
StockNTPC
Current Price₹339.50
Short Term Trend
Consolidating Sideways
Trend: Weak
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price below EMA20, EMA50, EMA200
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bullish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 43.66
- Mild positive bias
MACD: Weak Bullish
¼ MACD Observation
- Weak positive MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bullish
- Trend → Weak
📊 NTPC Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Relative Strength is perfectly balanced at 43.66.
❌ Risk Factors
- Failure to reclaim the 200-day EMA acts as heavy resistance.
- Immediate price action favors the sellers.
📌 Market Outlook
Sellers remain in control; wait for a confirmed structural shift before engaging.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹333.60
₹330.26
₹326.93
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹355.00
₹358.55
₹362.10
NTPC Price Action: Immediate buying interest for NTPC has historically emerged around the ₹333.6 mark. If the stock faces selling pressure, this zone acts as the first line of defense. Conversely, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹355.00. Breaking past this resistance could signal a fresh leg of bullish momentum.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 186.51 |
| 38.2% | 236.57 |
| 50.0% | 277.03 |
| 61.8% | 317.48 |
| 78.6% | 375.08 |
Structural Pullbacks: Looking at the Fibonacci retracement map for NTPC, the 38.2% level at ₹236.57 acts as a critical juncture. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where NTPC might reverse or accelerate.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 339.03 | SMA5 | 338.03 |
| EMA9 | 339.72 | SMA9 | 339.14 |
| EMA20 | 342.27 | SMA20 | 342.74 |
| EMA50 | 350.06 | SMA50 | 348.80 |
| EMA100 | 357.05 | SMA100 | 367.53 |
| EMA200 | 357.35 | SMA200 | 357.79 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bullish: +1 🟢
🟢
• Price < EMA20 (Short-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• EMA20 < EMA50 (Medium Downtrend): -1 🔴
🔴
• Price < EMA200 (Long-term Bearish): -1 🔴
🔴
• MACD Weak Bullish: +1 🟢
🟢
• Total Score: -1
🔴
• Confidence Score: 45.00%
🔴
Total Score: -1
Technical Indicator Strength: 45.0%
- Weak alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 45.0%
👉 Market appears weak-to-sideways with mild downside pressure
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-08-13 |
Bullish |
344.25 |
343.65 |
343.65 |
337.50 |
0.00% |
1.79 |
343.65 |
333.60% |
-0.17 |
3.09 |
8.26 14.93 No Trade |
| 2026-08-11 |
Bearish |
338.45 |
338.45 |
341.35 |
335.35 |
0.92% |
0.86 |
344.25 |
333.90% |
1.34 |
1.71 |
12.02 22.70 Success |
| 2026-07-20 |
Bullish |
347.25 |
347.20 |
349.15 |
344.15 |
0.56% |
0.88 |
353.00 |
344.15% |
1.66 |
0.89 |
6.40 17.45 Success |
| 2026-07-15 |
Bearish |
344.35 |
344.20 |
346.05 |
342.10 |
0.61% |
0.54 |
350.85 |
340.25% |
1.19 |
1.89 |
8.03 19.72 Success |
| 2026-07-13 |
Bullish |
351.75 |
348.50 |
353.95 |
347.50 |
1.56% |
0.29 |
353.95 |
340.25% |
0.63 |
3.27 |
0.54 23.20 Success |
| 2026-07-09 |
Bearish |
343.70 |
344.50 |
348.80 |
343.20 |
0.38% |
1.25 |
355.00 |
342.10% |
0.47 |
3.29 |
14.36 22.77 Success |
| 2026-06-19 |
Bullish |
365.80 |
365.80 |
368.50 |
364.05 |
0.74% |
0.48 |
369.25 |
351.45% |
0.94 |
3.92 |
54.92 46.10 Success |
| 2026-05-04 |
Bearish |
400.05 |
398.30 |
400.50 |
394.55 |
0.94% |
0.55 |
405.10 |
391.00% |
2.26 |
1.26 |
12.51 26.31 Success |
| 2026-04-13 |
Bullish |
386.25 |
390.25 |
393.95 |
387.10 |
0.95% |
0.81 |
402.70 |
387.10% |
4.26 |
-0.22 |
70.84 54.33 Success |
| 2026-03-04 |
Bearish |
365.80 |
366.95 |
379.90 |
366.60 |
0.10% |
3.53 |
385.55 |
366.60% |
-0.22 |
5.40 |
86.08 54.66 Success |
| 2026-02-23 |
Bullish |
375.45 |
374.95 |
385.00 |
373.55 |
2.68% |
0.37 |
388.55 |
365.00% |
3.49 |
2.78 |
6.73 43.65 Success |
| 2026-02-19 |
Bearish |
363.20 |
362.80 |
373.65 |
362.70 |
0.03% |
2.99 |
388.55 |
362.70% |
0.14 |
6.98 |
45.15 45.91 Success |
| 2026-01-29 |
Bullish |
358.15 |
359.00 |
359.35 |
351.10 |
0.10% |
2.20 |
370.70 |
337.75% |
3.50 |
5.70 |
52.84 58.79 Success |
| 2026-01-20 |
Bearish |
338.75 |
338.80 |
341.60 |
336.80 |
0.59% |
0.83 |
353.25 |
336.10% |
0.78 |
4.28 |
20.53 31.66 Success |
| 2025-12-12 |
Bullish |
325.05 |
323.05 |
325.30 |
321.55 |
0.70% |
0.46 |
325.30 |
317.00% |
0.08 |
2.48 |
24.10 22.88 Success |
| 2025-12-08 |
Bearish |
319.50 |
317.45 |
321.40 |
315.55 |
0.60% |
1.24 |
325.95 |
315.55% |
1.24 |
2.02 |
18.71 24.70 Success |
| 2025-11-27 |
Bullish |
327.35 |
328.00 |
328.15 |
324.25 |
0.05% |
1.14 |
329.95 |
321.10% |
0.79 |
1.91 |
3.50 13.66 Success |
| 2025-10-31 |
Bearish |
336.95 |
336.85 |
337.50 |
333.40 |
1.02% |
0.19 |
337.50 |
320.85% |
4.78 |
0.16 |
12.62 36.54 Success |
| 2025-10-29 |
Bullish |
347.50 |
349.00 |
349.00 |
343.45 |
0.00% |
1.59 |
349.00 |
324.60% |
0.43 |
6.59 |
28.82 41.13 No Trade |
| 2025-10-28 |
Bearish |
339.15 |
339.25 |
350.00 |
339.15 |
0.03% |
3.17 |
350.00 |
329.70% |
2.79 |
3.20 |
13.19 33.46 Success |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for NTPC. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.