Long Term Trend: Strong
AI Indicator Strength: 55.0%
StockSAREGAMA
Current Price₹465.90
Short Term Trend
Strong Upward
Trend: Strong
¼ Long Term Trend Structure
- Price above EMA20, EMA50, EMA200
- Momentum aligned with structure
RSI: Neutral-Bearish
📊 Momentum (RSI)
- RSI: 64.58
- Mild negative bias
MACD: Weak Bearish
¼ MACD Observation
- Weak negative MACD crossover
- Trend confirms structural bias
Overall: Mixed
📊 Overall Technical View
- Momentum → Neutral-Bearish
- Trend → Strong
📊 SAREGAMA Stock Strength & Risk Analysis
✅ Positive Factors
- Consistent higher highs affirm structural bull dominance.
❌ Risk Factors
- Short-term momentum shows mild cooling, but the primary trend remains strictly bullish.
📌 Market Outlook
Choppy sideways action is expected until a definitive range breakout occurs.
🎯 Technical Indicators: Support & Resistance
🟢 Support Zones
₹328.10
₹324.82
₹321.54
🔴 Resistance Zones
₹485.00
₹489.85
₹494.70
SAREGAMA Price Action: The nearest structural support is quite distant at ₹328.1 (over 10% away). In the short term, traders should watch the EMA20 at ₹442.37 as a dynamic support level. On the upside, the primary hurdle for an upward rally is positioned at ₹485.00.
📊 Fibonacci Retracement
| Level | Value |
|---|
| 23.6% | 301.08 |
| 38.2% | 375.19 |
| 50.0% | 435.09 |
| 61.8% | 494.99 |
| 78.6% | 580.27 |
Structural Pullbacks: With SAREGAMA trading in the upper half of its 52-week range, upper support floors like the 23.6% level at ₹301.08 act as immediate breakout retest zones. Price interactions around these zones frequently dictate the stock's short-term trajectory, helping identify where SAREGAMA might find fresh buying interest.
📈 Moving Averages
| EMA | Value | SMA | Value |
|---|
| EMA5 | 459.73 | SMA5 | 460.52 |
| EMA9 | 456.74 | SMA9 | 455.34 |
| EMA20 | 442.37 | SMA20 | 445.95 |
| EMA50 | 407.64 | SMA50 | 393.10 |
| EMA100 | 389.10 | SMA100 | 363.79 |
| EMA200 | 398.85 | SMA200 | 390.51 |
📊 AI Scorecard (How Confidence is Calculated)
• RSI Neutral-Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Price > EMA20 (Short-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• EMA20 > EMA50 (Medium Uptrend): +1 🟢
🟢
• Price > EMA200 (Long-term Bullish): +1 🟢
🟢
• MACD Weak Bearish: -1 🔴
🔴
• Total Score: 1
🔴
• Confidence Score: 55.00%
🔴
Total Score: 1
Technical Indicator Strength: 55.0%
- Strong alignment in behavior
- AI Confidence Score: 55.0%
👉 Market appears neutral
📊 MACD Backtested Signals (Historical)
| Date |
Signal |
Close |
T+1 Open |
T+1 High |
T+1 Low |
T+1 Change |
T+5 High |
T+5 Low |
T+5 Change |
Strength |
Confidence |
Strategy |
| 2026-06-11 |
Bearish |
452.30 |
459.00 |
469.00 |
449.00 |
2.18% |
2.18 |
471.55 |
449.00% |
0.73 |
4.26 |
60.40 53.58 Success |
| 2026-05-14 |
Bullish |
384.55 |
390.00 |
443.00 |
389.00 |
13.59% |
0.26 |
443.00 |
383.60% |
15.20 |
0.25 |
100.00 95.00 Success |
| 2026-05-12 |
Bearish |
332.80 |
335.30 |
339.15 |
328.10 |
2.15% |
1.15 |
443.00 |
328.10% |
1.41 |
33.11 |
96.70 81.40 Success |
| 2026-04-15 |
Bullish |
342.30 |
346.00 |
346.75 |
337.55 |
0.22% |
2.44 |
351.00 |
336.40% |
2.54 |
1.72 |
100.00 61.69 Success |
| 2026-03-25 |
Bearish |
331.75 |
331.00 |
333.25 |
319.00 |
3.63% |
0.68 |
338.00 |
313.00% |
5.65 |
1.88 |
5.60 55.96 Success |
| 2026-03-12 |
Bullish |
347.55 |
341.00 |
351.90 |
336.00 |
3.20% |
1.47 |
370.90 |
336.00% |
6.72 |
3.32 |
100.00 94.88 Success |
| 2026-02-24 |
Bearish |
328.00 |
328.00 |
335.00 |
324.00 |
1.22% |
2.13 |
335.55 |
314.90% |
3.99 |
2.30 |
13.61 41.71 Success |
| 2026-02-05 |
Bullish |
333.50 |
333.05 |
333.05 |
323.50 |
0.00% |
2.87 |
367.60 |
323.50% |
10.22 |
3.00 |
52.63 68.05 No Trade |
| 2026-01-20 |
Bearish |
332.75 |
330.00 |
332.10 |
322.00 |
2.42% |
0.64 |
336.00 |
318.65% |
4.24 |
0.98 |
86.69 71.92 Success |
| 2025-12-10 |
Bullish |
367.50 |
366.05 |
369.30 |
362.20 |
0.89% |
1.05 |
389.80 |
347.05% |
6.07 |
5.56 |
8.03 47.88 Success |
| 2025-12-08 |
Bearish |
347.90 |
344.00 |
363.80 |
340.30 |
1.08% |
5.76 |
381.15 |
340.30% |
2.18 |
9.56 |
82.96 72.77 Success |
| 2025-11-27 |
Bullish |
399.75 |
397.55 |
409.90 |
394.15 |
3.11% |
0.86 |
409.90 |
366.00% |
2.54 |
8.44 |
7.48 51.24 Success |
| 2025-11-06 |
Bearish |
426.35 |
425.00 |
426.40 |
402.80 |
5.22% |
0.33 |
426.40 |
395.00% |
7.35 |
0.01 |
86.46 95.00 Success |
| 2025-10-24 |
Bullish |
457.75 |
461.75 |
461.75 |
452.00 |
0.00% |
2.11 |
462.95 |
451.55% |
1.14 |
1.35 |
20.62 19.92 No Trade |
| 2025-09-19 |
Bearish |
490.60 |
490.65 |
493.80 |
482.35 |
1.69% |
0.64 |
493.80 |
467.25% |
4.76 |
0.65 |
9.28 39.73 Success |
| 2025-08-06 |
Bullish |
485.60 |
483.00 |
488.80 |
476.05 |
1.20% |
1.44 |
504.00 |
475.95% |
3.79 |
1.99 |
50.33 53.50 Success |
| 2025-08-01 |
Bearish |
473.55 |
471.50 |
476.55 |
468.80 |
0.57% |
1.07 |
516.45 |
468.80% |
1.00 |
9.06 |
32.01 48.58 Success |
| 2025-07-17 |
Bullish |
487.10 |
490.95 |
520.00 |
490.10 |
5.92% |
0.17 |
520.00 |
490.10% |
6.75 |
-0.62 |
15.83 60.14 Success |
| 2025-07-15 |
Bearish |
483.50 |
485.45 |
488.00 |
479.00 |
1.33% |
0.53 |
520.00 |
479.00% |
0.93 |
7.55 |
7.96 41.90 Success |
| 2025-07-10 |
Bullish |
500.45 |
502.90 |
502.90 |
488.55 |
0.00% |
2.85 |
502.90 |
478.90% |
0.49 |
4.31 |
66.11 46.74 No Trade |
Interpreting Historical MACD Data: The table above presents backtested historical performance of MACD crossover signals for SAREGAMA. By analyzing past T+1 to T+5 day price movements following a MACD buy or sell signal, traders can gauge the historical reliability and expected volatility of the current signal.